Prediction markets are more like 'derivative betting pools that passively follow the pricing of the underlying asset' rather than an asset curve that can produce candlestick charts. Treating them as objects for technical analysis is fundamentally wrong from the start. The real marginal advantage isn’t in reading charts or guessing trends, but in structure: focusing on the brief pricing lag caused by BTC movements, strictly adhering to fair value discipline, only acting during deep discounts, and treating slippage, fees, and transaction probability as the primary variables in calculations.