AiCoin中文|2月 19, 2026 12:02
Hey everyone, the US December PCE data (the Fed's favorite inflation gauge) is about to drop!
Check out the past few months—core PCE annual rate has been hovering between 2.7%-2.8%:
November: 2.8%
October: 2.7%
September: 2.8%
August: 2.9%
December forecast incoming!
Right now, the market consensus is still at 2.8% YoY (Cleveland Fed model shows 2.84%), but heads up—the risk is leaning upward!
Here’s why: December PPI rose 0.5% MoM (services got pricier + tariff pass-through). If this momentum carries over to PCE, the monthly rate could jump from 0.2% to 0.3%-0.4%, and the annual rate might edge close to 3.0%.
If it really hits 3.0%, the market’s rate-cut fantasies might take another hit … The Fed might just stick with “wait and see.”
What do you think the data will show:
✅ Steady (2.7%-2.9%)
⚠️ Slightly above expectations (close to 3.0%)
Off the charts (≥3.0%)
Drop your predictions in the comments and let’s see who gets it right
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