猴哥🐒|Feb 19, 2026 06:30
Preparing for the next phase of market trends
A few days ago, at the level of 67000, I copied a Bitcoin. Next month, at the same time, it seems like I can return to 60000 and continue to copy
Bitcoin's monthly chart has been negative for 5 consecutive years, the last time was during the bear phase in 2018, and the monthly chart was negative for 6 consecutive years
From a candlestick perspective, if there are no new major bearish factors, then this position will grind for another month or so, and a new phase of market trend will emerge
From a macro perspective, the current core inflation is still slightly above 2%, and a more clear and sustained decline is needed
The job market is becoming more stable, and the risk of data downturn has decreased, reducing the pressure of rushing to cut interest rates
The tone for this year is restraint and maintaining stability, so the base and frequency of interest rate cuts will be significantly reduced
Goldman Sachs predicts that the Federal Reserve will restart interest rate cuts in June, as the reasonable window for resuming interest rate cuts is only when inflation data accumulates more declines and the new leadership team of the Federal Reserve takes office in June
But personally, I think the utility of Bitcoin is very small, and it can only initiate a small-scale oversold rebound, which is also the stage market mentioned above
Make an effort to seize the only period of market trend in the first half of this year, hot selling knockoffs and blue chip MEME.
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