0x长安
0x长安|2月 18, 2026 04:15
Polymarket now supports sponsored market rewards, allowing users to add liquidity incentives to markets. Today, someone accidentally added $70K in rewards to the Jesus market, pushing the probability of the Jesus market from 3.5% to 5.5%. This also hints at potential future strategies: - Manipulating derivative markets By adding liquidity rewards to the main market, you can indirectly influence the probability distribution of derivative markets. If the consensus in the derivative market is too uniform, market makers can first sweep up "Yes" in the derivative market. Then, they add large LP incentives to the main market, attracting funds to push up the main market's probability. As long as the main market's probability meets the conditions, the derivative market can be manipulated to reverse. The Jesus market has a derivative market: What’s the probability that Jesus Christ will return before 2027 and it’s greater than 5%? (Held for 31 Min) February 17th, between 12 AM and 1 AM? - Arbitrage teams For quantitative teams already market-making on Polymarket, adding LP incentives to low-liquidity markets can: Reduce slippage costs for their own trades and increase the annualized returns of their overall arbitrage strategies. - Market creators Polymarket announced that they will launch permissionless market deployment in the future. Adding LP rewards can attract funds to participate in the market.
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