律动BlockBeats|2月 18, 2026 03:23
**[Analyst: Technicals and On-Chain Data Both Point to Bitcoin's Short-Term Downside Risk]**
BlockBeats reported on February 18 that analyst Yashu Gola stated that current technicals and on-chain data both indicate a short-term downside risk for Bitcoin.
A classic "bear flag" pattern is forming on Bitcoin's daily chart. This structure began with the previous sharp drop to the $60,000 region as the "flagpole," followed by price consolidation within converging trendlines, consistently suppressed by key moving averages, with weak momentum.
If the price clearly breaks below the lower boundary of the flag, it could further test the $56,000 level within February, representing a decline of approximately 20% from the current level. Conversely, if it breaks above the upper boundary around $72,700 (which coincides with the 20-day moving average), it could invalidate this bearish structure.
On-chain data platform CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin's "Whale Inflow Ratio" (7-day average) has surged to a historic high of 0.619, significantly higher than the 0.40 level at the beginning of the month. This indicator tracks the proportion of total inflows from the top ten transactions, and its rise is typically interpreted as increased selling pressure from whales.
Meanwhile, the Fear and Greed Index is signaling a potential "bottoming signal": the 21-day moving average has crossed below the zero axis and is now turning upward. Historically, this combination often coincides with "sustained bottoms." While a brief dip cannot be ruled out, the likelihood of a rebound is accumulating.
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