飞凡|Feb 17, 2026 03:52
The mainstream prediction for the Fed's rate cuts is basically to hold steady until May, with rate cuts starting in June, corresponding to the meeting on June 16–17.
This means that the macro situation will likely start improving by June this year at the earliest.
However, in reality, the market usually prices in expectations 1–3 months before the first rate cut, so prices tend to reflect the good news earlier.
Following this logic, the key points for shaping expectations are concentrated in March–April, so you can ignore the market in February and enjoy the New Year.
Here are the four key dates:
March 6: February Non-Farm Payrolls (employment)
March 11: February CPI (inflation)
March 17–18: FOMC + Dot Plot (SEP)
April 10: March CPI
The good news is that January CPI year-on-year is 2.4%, showing inflation is easing. As long as there are no extreme market movements, BTC prices will likely remain stable around the current 70k level, and ETH around 2k. Hold onto your assets and wait for the good news in March after the New Year.
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink