PANews
PANews|Feb 14, 2026 00:29
[CryptoQuant: Bitcoin's 'Final' Bear Market Bottom Around $55,000] According to The Block, on-chain data analytics firm CryptoQuant stated that Bitcoin's 'final' bear market bottom is currently around $55,000. However, bear market bottoms typically take months to form rather than being completed by a single capitulation event. Analysis shows that Bitcoin's realized price has historically been a major support area during bear markets, and the current price remains more than 25% above that level. Although Bitcoin dropped to $62,000 on February 5, with a single-day realized loss of $5.4 billion—the highest since March 2023—the structural bottom is not yet near. The monthly cumulative realized loss (measured in BTC) remains far below bear market bottom levels: currently at 300,000 BTC, compared to 1.1 million BTC at the end of the 2022 bear market. Several key valuation metrics have also not entered historical capitulation zones: the MVRV ratio has not touched the extreme undervaluation range; the NUPL metric has not reached the historical cycle low of approximately 20% unrealized loss; long-term holders are currently selling at roughly breakeven, whereas they typically endure 30%-40% losses at historical bear market bottoms; and about 55% of Bitcoin's supply remains in profit, while cycle lows are typically around 45%-50%. CryptoQuant's bull and bear market cycle indicator is still in the 'bear market phase' rather than the 'extreme bear market phase,' the latter of which historically lasts several months and signals the beginning of the bottoming process.
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