Golden Pit Tracking Series: Latest Data Update on the "Four Major Deep Bear Bottom Hunting Models" I have previously shared with you multiple times the different deep bear valuation models with a historical win rate of 100%, Recently, more and more people have started to pay attention to the latest status of these data. Therefore, I plan to publish a weekly analysis post on the 'Golden Pit Tracking Series', Regularly update the latest values of these models for your reference ： // AVIV Heatmap Index Introduction: ➡️ The full name AVIV Heatmap is a model that I personally designed ➡️ AVIV can be regarded as the "profit multiple of active chips" and is an optimized version of MVRV ➡️ AVIV Heatmap is a model designed using the mean regression property of AVIV ➡️ The concept comes from Cointime Economic methodology (proposed by Ark and Glassnode) Detailed tutorial on indicators: https://((((x.com)))/market_gegar/status/1942759255385465186 AVIV Heatmap, as a high-precision periodic thermometer for BTC since its inception, Since the bear market bottom at the beginning of 2023, it has not returned to the blue zone. At present, the upper bound of the blue area on AVIV Heatmap is 64106 The blue area has always been the bottom region of BTC's final cycle, Although AVIV Heatmap cannot tell us the final bottom price, But the emergence of different colors signifies a shift in the market stage, And the blue area is the endpoint of every bear market in the past 。 // Cointime Price Index Introduction: ➡️ Cointime Economics, jointly produced by Ark and Glassnode ➡️ Calculate BTC chips using a 'time weighted' approach and conduct fair valuation ➡️ Excluding the influence of ancient and lost chips, only considering chips that are "moving" Detailed tutorial on indicators: https://((((x.com)))/market_gegar/status/1871466038107512855 Cointime Price has always been my favorite valuation model, The reason is that its design logic is very meticulous and reasonable, and its performance in history is excellent. Currently Cointime Price=51963 As shown in the figure below, whenever the BTC price is lower than the Cointime Price, All without exception are cyclical bear market bottoms. // Realized Price Index Introduction: ➡️ The basic concept of on chain analysis can be regarded as the "average cost of holding BTC in the entire market" ➡️ As shown in the attached figure, in the past, when BTC prices were lower than the Realized Price, they were all cyclical bottoms ➡️ Compared to Cointime Price, it is relatively loose Detailed tutorial on indicators: https://((((x.com)))/market_gegar/status/1862031455070941350 The current realized price is 55087 It is worth noting that it is now very close to Cointime Price, The area between the two may precisely indicate the optimal golden pit region for this cycle. // LTH-Realized Price（LTH-RP） Index Introduction: ➡️ The principle is the same as Realized Price, but the analyzed population is Long Term Holders (LTH) ➡️ Due to the lower holding costs of LTH, LTH-RP is also more stringent ➡️ Compared to Cointime Price, LTH-RP itself has higher engraving power and should be used with caution Detailed tutorial on indicators: https://((((x.com)))/market_gegar/status/1864600434129948724 The current LTH-RP is 40416 As mentioned above, the downtrend of a bear market is usually stopped at Cointime Price, And influenced by the institutions and enterprises entering this cycle, the 'distribution level' is also different from before, Therefore, if you want to use LTH-RP for bottom fishing, you may need to consider the issue of whether it can be reached. // Summary This article is the first analysis post of the "Golden Pit Tracking Series", I hope regular tracking of this series can be helpful for everyone in designing their 'bottom fishing strategy'. Based on my detailed discussion in the following quote, I still believe that the current situation is only the starting point of a broad oscillation, If you are still unclear about my views on the future market, I strongly recommend referring to the following quote first, Be mentally prepared for the upcoming "up and down wash" market that may last for several months. The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone // Related reading resources For the first time since 2022: BTC returns to the blue line support zone once again https://((((((x.com))))))/market_beggar/status/2021399682606661737 The 'Golden Pit One Step Away': The PSIP Periodic Bottom Signal is within reach https://((((((x.com))))))/market_beggar/status/2020675527812792811