The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 94.1%

According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 94.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 5.9%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point interest rate cut by April is 20.5%, the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged is 78.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point interest rate cut is 1%. The probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points by June is 48.1%.