Jesse
Jesse|Feb 11, 2026 04:21
NVDA Head and Shoulders Top Failure, Targeting 235, Stop Loss at 170! In classic technical analysis, a 'Head and Shoulders Top' is often seen as a bearish reversal signal. But if the pattern fails, it can often signal an even stronger bullish move. What is a 'Pattern Failure'? If a textbook-perfect Head and Shoulders Top forms but the price fails to break below the neckline, or breaks below but quickly recovers, it indicates that the market's underlying support is stronger than expected, and bearish momentum has been exhausted. Right now, NVDA's daily chart is at this classic crossroads. Neckline Support Zone: 170.9 This is a critical pivot point. Not only is it the neckline of the pattern, but it also perfectly aligns with the 200-day moving average, forming a dual-structure support. If this level breaks, it’s a strong bearish signal. Right Shoulder High (Confirmation Line): 195 This is the bears' last line of defense. According to the rules, once the stock price breaks above the right shoulder high of 195, it officially declares the Head and Shoulders Top pattern a failure. Post-Failure Target Price: Using technical measurement, take the deepest point of the pattern's head and add it to the right shoulder high. If 195 is reclaimed effectively, shorts will be forced to cover, and combined with positive fundamentals, the stock price could quickly surge to the 235 level. Why is a 'Failure' of the Head and Shoulders Top more noteworthy than its 'Success'? Breaking Consensus Expectations: When a textbook reversal pattern fails, traders who were bearish will be forced to stop out. This short squeeze momentum can lead to a sharper rally than a typical upward move. Restoration of Confidence: When the market refuses to drop after forming a deep pattern, it often signals the start of a new upward wave. Summary and Strategy: **Bullish Signal:** Keep a close eye on 195. Once the price breaks above with volume, the Head and Shoulders Top not only ceases to be a threat but becomes a launchpad toward 235. **Bearish Signal:** Watch out for 170.9. If this support level is lost, the long-term trend will shift into a bearish market.
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