Andre Cronje|2月 10, 2026 21:05
I spent a lot of time thinking about Flying Tulip FDV, this is a problem we had during the original pitches as well.
Normal raises are simple, there will be X amount of tokens, so X * price.
FT raise doesn't technically raise against the token, it raises against an American (exercise-anytime) put option with no expiry. So this then led me down the rabbit hole of how would you price that?
So then instead, I tried to price perpetual American put options against similar apps; Aave, Ethena, Uniswap, Hyperliquid, etc. It works out to roughly ~13.5% units of token for every $1 at time of purchase.
So with that logic in mind, and given what we had raised;
$200m seed.
$25m follow on.
$55m Impossible (highest yet raised)
$10m CoinList (their 3rd highest yet)
$290m (excluding whitelist & public)
Would put the "FDV" at $39m ($290*13.5%).
However given projects are measured at total_supply * price for FDV, on paper its $1bn.
Would love for anyone familiar with perpetual put pricing to analyze my assumptions.(Andre Cronje)
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