星球日报
星球日报|Feb 08, 2026 12:06
[CoinShares: Bitcoin Quantum Vulnerability Is Not an Urgent Crisis and Risks Are Controllable] Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to a CoinShares report, the possibility of practical quantum computers has sparked debates about the potential impact on Bitcoin's security. Bitcoin's quantum vulnerability is not an imminent crisis but rather a foreseeable engineering challenge, with ample time for adjustments. From a technical perspective, quantum risks mainly stem from the possibility of Shor's algorithm breaking ECDSA or Schnorr signatures, thereby exposing private keys. The primary potential impact involves approximately 1.7 million Bitcoins using early P2PK addresses, accounting for about 8% of the total supply, with limited likelihood of causing systemic market shocks in the short term. Claims that 25% of the supply is at risk are considered significantly exaggerated, and risks can be mitigated through address migration. Long-term attacks may become theoretically feasible within the next decade, but short-term attacks, such as cracking private keys within 10 minutes in the mempool, remain unfeasible for decades. The scale of Bitcoins potentially entering the market due to private key leaks is estimated at around 10,000, with limited impact on the price system. Holders can proactively migrate to secure addresses. The remaining targets are dispersed across approximately 34,000 addresses, and even with breakthroughs in quantum technology, a comprehensive attack could take decades to complete.
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