律动BlockBeats|2月 07, 2026 15:47
Next week's macro outlook: Non farm CPI combined with US Iran negotiations and Japanese elections, the cryptocurrency market will face the ultimate test
BlockBeats News: On February 7th, this week, the cryptocurrency market accelerated its decline. Although it experienced a brief rebound on Friday, fragile market sentiment will continue to be tested next week. Next week's important macro events and data intensive events include the US Iran negotiations, the Japanese election, US non farm payroll, CPI, and other heavyweight events. The specific forecast is as follows:
Macro data and speeches by Federal Reserve officials:
Tuesday 00:00, January New York Fed's 1-year inflation expectations;
At 02:30 on Tuesday, Federal Reserve Governor Waller gave a speech on digital assets;
On Tuesday at 04:15, Chairman Bostic of the Atlanta Fed and a member of the FOMC voting committee, delivered a speech on monetary policy and economic prospects;
At 21:30 on Tuesday, the monthly retail sales rate for December in the United States, the quarterly labor cost index rate for the fourth quarter of the United States, and the monthly import price index rate for December in the United States;
On Wednesday at 01:00, Chairman of the Cleveland Fed and member of the FOMC voting committee in 2026, Hamack, delivered a speech on "Banking and Economic Outlook";
On Wednesday at 02:00, Logan, the chairman of the Dallas Federal Reserve and a member of the FOMC voting committee in 2026, delivered a speech;
On Wednesday at 21:30, the US January unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted non farm payroll, average hourly wage rate/month, and final value of the US 2025 non farm payroll benchmark change (not seasonally adjusted);
At 3:00 pm on Thursday, the initial annual GDP rate for the fourth quarter of the UK, the monthly GDP rate for the three months of December, the monthly manufacturing/industrial output rate for December, and the seasonally adjusted commodity trade account for December;
On Friday at 08:00, Ronald Reagan, the chairman of the Dallas Fed and a member of the FOMC voting committee for 2026, delivered a welcome speech at an event, which was attended by Federal Reserve Board member Milan upon invitation;
At 21:30 on Friday, the US January non quarterly adjusted CPI annual rate, US January quarterly adjusted CPI monthly rate, US January quarterly adjusted core CPI monthly rate, and US January non quarterly adjusted core CPI annual rate will be held;
US Iran negotiations:
On February 6th local time, Trump stated that the United States had had "very good talks" with Iran and that Iran was "very eager" to reach an agreement. He said that the United States will negotiate with Iran again next week. He reiterated that Iran cannot possess nuclear weapons. Trump has also authorized his administration to impose tariffs on countries that trade with Iran, but has not immediately imposed any new tariffs.
Japanese General Election:
Takashi Hayao announced that Japan will hold elections on February 8th. The election results may indicate a meaningful shift towards looser fiscal policies in Japan, including tax cuts and increased government spending, at a time when Japan is already one of the countries with the heaviest public debt burden in the world. Market analysts suggest that a more expansionary policy stance may put pressure on Japanese government bonds, weaken the yen, and complicate efforts by the Bank of Japan to normalize monetary policy.
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