The pancake has risen by 16% since its lowest point in the morning, and it's been a long time since we last saw it rise so much in less than a day So I turned to history and found that the last time we could see such a big increase in one day was in March 2023 when we rescued Silicon Valley Bank. It rose 20% in one day, 30% in two days, and then made a significant adjustment (followed by a 9.4% drop in the following day). Further ahead is the lowest point of 519, which rebounded by 40% in one day and peaked (then fell by 21% the next day). Further ahead is the lowest point of 313, which rebounded by 57% in half a day (then fell by 20% in 4 hours and 25% in 3 days) Trump took office in the middle, and the real and fake news of ETFs going online did not trigger such a large short-term rise. So I plan to buy a portion of the spot goods and contracts that I bought at the bottom this morning after 70000. Perhaps we can still go to 7.5, but the higher probability is that there will be a callback before going. The probability of going straight from 6w to 7.5 in one go is relatively small, we will see later. The downward support is between 6.38-6.68.