0xTodd ( thinking )
0xTodd ( thinking )|Feb 06, 2026 03:23
I've decided to add a Bitcoin/Uniswap V3 range and make a financial-level bottom-fishing move. The range is roughly 52,000-79,000. Looking at data from the past 13 years, Bitcoin has broken below the MA730 (2-year moving average) a total of 5 times, and each time it entered a consolidation range afterward, which is essentially the bottom range. This time, the break below MA730 was at 85,000. Based on a lower limit of 0.6 and an upper limit of 0.95, I simulated the possible range this time, aiming to ensure that 95% of the time stays within the range. Although 60,000/65,000 might not be the absolute bottom, this range should hold solidly for 6-12 months. So, factoring in fees, it should allow me to buy at the real bottom. (Working on being a friend of time ).
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