qinbafrank|Feb 06, 2026 00:29
Deleveraging in U.S. stocks:
1. Margin debt has hit a record high, while investor credit balances have reached a record low. All the leverage that could be added has already been maxed out.
2. Meanwhile, fund managers are holding the lowest cash positions in history, and short positions in S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 ETFs have also dropped to historic lows: bulls lack momentum, and there’s no fuel for a short squeeze.
In a high-expectation environment, any point that doesn’t completely exceed expectations or any significant increase in costs could amplify sell-offs—last Thursday’s Microsoft was the first signal.
From this perspective, $BTC is also following suit, but with greater volatility.
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