During the live broadcast of Three Kingdoms College, BTC hit bottom and rebounded. Has the bottom arrived at the end of the year?

Click on the link to join the meeting directly: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/7890471408 Bitcoin 74500 (approaching the 74000 life and death line), with a rebound of over 6% from 78500 to 79800, but has not yet stabilized at the psychological level of 80000; Ethereum 2170 2380-2450 has stronger resilience, with an increase of over 10% compared to the daily low; The low point of $74000 is the technical overlap level of the 2025 cycle, and holding it today triggers short covering. Daily chart: Long bearish candlestick, confirming effective strong support of 74500; - Four hours: MACD golden cross+RSI turns from oversold area (28 → 45), but the hourly RSI is close to 60 (alert to short-term overbought); [Key Position] - Support: 77000 → 76000 (long short lifeline); - Resistance: 80000 (psychological threshold) → 82000; Ethereum Linkage: highly synchronized with BTC, but with stronger rebound strength (elasticity coefficient>1.2) - K-line signal: "Bullish Hammer" appears at 1H level, short-term momentum repair [Key Position] - Support: 2300 → 2250-2200 (intensive trading area) Resistance: 2450-2500 (the first target for today's rebound) 【 Summary 】 The essence of today's market trend is "technical oversold repair+US stock sentiment driven", not a trend reversal. Short term: Pay attention to the effectiveness of breaking through the resistance of 80000/2450 and avoid chasing high; Mid line: Maintaining support at $74000 is a prerequisite for bottoming out, and if it falls, it will trigger a deeper pullback; Strategic core: "Don't chase high when rebounding, don't panic when rebounding", strictly set stop loss, and control positions within 10%. Technical key points: Daily level KDJ golden cross but MACD contraction, lack of bullish momentum. The four hour Bollinger Bands closed, with prices running between the lower and middle tracks, showing a slight oscillation and weakness. Key resistance: 3050 (strong psychological barrier+front high); Key support: 2900 → 2800 (strong support band) Operation suggestion (short-term); Rebound short selling is the main strategy: light short positions can be taken in the 3010-3040 range, with a target of 2920-2880 and a stop loss of 3080. Low buying opportunity: If the price drops to 2800-2820 and a stop falling candlestick (such as a hammer line or a swallow) appears, the game can rebound to 2950+. Join the Three Kingdoms College Exchange Group to receive more services: 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Official QQ group: 579358784 Tencent Meeting ID: 789-047-1408 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.