Phyrex|2月 01, 2026 21:09
After CME opens on Monday, there's a high chance that BTC will form its first recent daily (unfilled) gap, likely between $77,500 and $81,210. Although gap theory is kind of mystical, all of Bitcoin's short-term daily gaps have been filled. The earliest unfilled gap was back at $20K in 2023, and all the other dozen or so gaps before that have been filled.
I previously did a calculation and just updated the data a bit. The overall gap-fill rate is around 95%, with about a 55% chance of being filled within one week, 65% within two weeks, 81% within three weeks, and over 90% within a year.
In other words, if the gap isn’t filled within three weeks, the difficulty of filling it starts to increase. Gaps that remain unfilled for over a year have a very low probability of being filled. So, if this gap gets filled, it means Bitcoin’s price might have a chance to revisit $81,000 within three weeks.
@bitget VIP, lower fees, crazier perks.
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