Being a bull for the past four months has been really exhausting. There are so many moths, and even gold and silver have started playing Super Mario. It's really fun! The BTC daily candlestick shows a bottom cross, the MACD dead cross but the candlestick narrows, the RSI is around 28-32 oversold, and the Stoch indicator's golden cross is beginning to appear, indicating the accumulation of short-term oversold rebound momentum, but the overall trend is still bearish, and caution should be exercised against the failure of bottoming out and three downward explorations. OKX Secondary support: 81K-82K range (if effectively held and increased in volume, it can be considered as confirmation of bottoming out; breaking the level may accelerate the downward exploration of 80K) Strong support: 80K (significant psychological+historical low zone, if lost, it will drop below 78K) Weak resistance: 85K (near the lower track of the channel+recent high point, breaking through can alleviate bearish pressure) Strong resistance: 88K (MA9 key suppression level, after stabilizing, look at the 90K trend line track) Prediction for the next half month: The bottom is expected to be slightly volatile, with a high probability of the 82k-85k box. If the 82k+US stock market does not collapse, there is a chance to rebound and explore 87k-90k, optimistically breaking through MA9 to see 95k. If the macro situation worsens due to pessimism (such as a continued decline in gold or a pullback in the US stock market), a second dip of 80k will occur, and once it falls below, it will trigger a chain reaction. Suggest taking a wait-and-see approach in the short term, with a light position, buying at a low level, and cutting losses below 80k. In short, don't be afraid of the current decline. The pace changes quickly, and the monthly chart has been bearish for four consecutive days, which is rare in history. The reversal can happen in an instant, and I still firmly believe that there will be a big market trend in the first half of the year!