律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|1月 28, 2026 15:20
Five major institutions predict the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2026 According to BlockBeats, on January 28th, five major institutions including JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup forecasted the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2026 and the focus of tonight's interest rate decision as follows: Barclays Bank Interest rate cut forecast: A total of 50 basis points of interest rate cuts (in June and December). Viewpoint: It is expected that the FOMC will release signals indicating that it is not in a hurry to further cut interest rates. The committee may point out that the current risks of declining employment and rising inflation have reached a balance. Powell stated that he is expected to strengthen the FOMC's stance of not rushing to cut interest rates. Bank of America Interest rate cut forecast: A total of 50 basis points of interest rate cuts (in June and July). Viewpoint: Political factors may become the focus of the January meeting. The Federal Reserve will firmly maintain the status quo, and the risk balance is expected to remain unchanged. Powell stated that the press conference may revolve around political rather than policy issues. But in terms of policy, the current market pricing may bring the risk of pigeon pie surprises. Citigroup Interest rate cut forecast: A total of 50 basis points of interest rate cuts (in June and September). Viewpoint: If the next interest rate cut is aimed at policy normalization rather than addressing urgent risks, decision-makers may seek a broader consensus than in December last year, which requires clearer progress on inflation as a prerequisite. Powell's statement: He is likely to emphasize that the just completed three interest rate cuts will help stabilize the job market, and the current policy stance is good, making it suitable to assess its impact. JPMorgan Chase Interest rate cut forecast: There will be no interest rate cut in 2026. Main point: After completing three risk management style interest rate cuts, many FOMC members have indicated that it is now an appropriate time to pause action. Powell's statement: It is expected that he will indicate that current policies are sufficient to address the risks faced by the dual mission and will avoid discussing various political issues related to the Federal Reserve. Wells Fargo Interest rate cut forecast: A total of 50 basis points of interest rate cuts (in March and June). Viewpoint: A strong argument is that the longer the FOMC waits for a rate cut, the higher the threshold for further policy easing from an economic perspective. Powell stated that he is not expected to hint at the possibility of further easing policies at the next meeting in March. He is likely to be asked questions related to the investigation by the Department of Justice, but it is expected that his response will be consistent with before. (Golden Ten)
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