看不懂的SOL
看不懂的SOL|Jan 28, 2026 07:01
Latest news: President Trump has stated that interest rates will immediately drop significantly after the replacement of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. Brothers, it's not an exaggeration to say that the macro market has been extremely volatile lately 1. The overall MTD hell difficulty is that six major events have exploded in the past three days, and it happened to coincide with the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, which directly filled the uncertainty. The combination has put multiple downward pressures on BTC, which is more uncertain than any previous conference week. I am ready to prepare for the Martin strategy injection. 2. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is widely expected by the market to neither raise nor lower interest rates, but the core depends on what Powell says. Inflation has not cooled down yet, and the core PCE is still fluctuating at a high level. It goes without saying that Trump's wave of tariffs has forced the Federal Reserve to become more hawkish. If Lao Bao's hawkish tone is full, BTC is likely to fall into a wide range of fluctuations, which is supported by past data, not random guesses. Here is an interesting set of data for our brothers, which shows the performance of Bitcoin in following the decisions of the Federal Reserve FOMC throughout 2025: out of the eight meetings held, seven of them have seen a significant pullback, with only one being a brief rise: -January 29th: -27% -March 19th: -14% -May 7th:+15% -June 18th: -8% -July 30th: -6% -September 17th: -7% -October 29th: -29% -December 10th: -9% At first glance, it is clear that the FOMC meeting week has always been tied to the high volatility and downside risk of Bitcoin. 3. Technology stock financial reports and PPI data are facing a double squeeze - Tesla Meta、 Microsoft's pile up of wealth reports are all emotional switches for the US stock market. If the financial report pulls a wedge, the market will definitely plummet, and BTC, as a risky asset, cannot escape at all. On Thursday, the Federal Reserve's closely monitored PPI inflation data is set to clash with Apple's financial report. If PPI remains high, interest rate cuts are completely out of the question. The market will lose liquidity, and BTC will inevitably come under pressure; If Apple's financial report also falls short, it would be even worse. 4. Friday's government shutdown - I believe brothers still remember the last shutdown, right? Liquidity has been completely drained, and now the situation is even more chaotic than last time. The Federal Reserve and the White House are at odds, and inflation cannot be suppressed. If it really stops, the consequences will be more serious than a simple FOMC shock, and the market is likely to be wiped out. As the saying goes, brothers, we can only have one trick to deal with Wang's "Trading Art": maintain a fixed investment strategy and adapt to changes with no change!!
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