HOW BITCOIN BTC WILL REACT TO FOMC MEETING, LAST TIME IT DROPPED BY -9% The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is responsible for setting US monetary policy, meeting eight times a year to decide interest rates that shape liquidity conditions across global markets. Looking ahead to the first meeting of 2026, expectations for a January rate cut are extremely low at 2.8%, suggesting policy easing is unlikely in the near term. What’s more interesting is how Bitcoin has behaved around FOMC decisions throughout 2025. Out of the eight meetings held, seven were followed by notable pullbacks, with only one resulting in a brief upside reaction: • January 29: –27% • March 19: –14% • May 7: +15% • June 18: –8% • July 30: –6% • September 17: –7% • October 29: –29% • December 10: –9% The takeaway is that FOMC weeks have consistently coincided with higher volatility and downside risk for Bitcoin. Even though markets often price in optimism ahead of these meetings, driven by hopes that lower rates will support risk assets like crypto, the data shows that the reaction after the announcement has leaned bearish in the vast majority of cases. This makes FOMC events a key moment to stay cautious and manage exposure carefully.(Ali Charts)