Polymarket has launched a new gameplay: betting on whether the cryptocurrency industry will have big events this year I looked at it late at night, You don't even have to guess the ups and downs, Just need to judge two things: Will there be a big market trend this year? How big do you think the market is? Think about the past few years: 312 slaying, Luna zeroing, FTX exploding. Who can guess when the market starts to decline before every incident? But looking at the rearview mirror, the certainty of 'something will happen' itself is very strong. This is the logic of this market, only guessing 'nothing will happen', good or bad things will do. Now Polymarket has a probability of BTC volatility increasing by over 50%, exceeding 77%. The vast majority of people in the cryptocurrency industry are expected to encounter problems this year. I think this product is actually based on traditional finance, Those who play in the US stock market know about the VIX panic index. When the market crashes, it rises, and Wall Street uses it as a hedge. To some extent, Polymarket has turned the same thing into a prediction problem. Overall, Polymarket gained popularity last year through the Trump election, Cutting financial products this year, For example, volatility, housing prices, IPO valuations, everything is on the rise. Each one is lowering the entry threshold a little, even lower. Anyone can play, anyone can play. The approach is somewhat similar to Robinhood's back then, starting with zero threshold retail investors and gradually moving towards complex products. Ambition is really big. @Polymarket