A16z Crypto: Predicting Market Contract Settlement, Deposit, and Arbitration Bottlenecks

A16z Crypto released an article pointing out that predicting the scale development of the market will face a bottleneck in contract settlement judgment, and the judgment mechanism will play the roles of "judge, jury, and executioner" at the same time. The article mentioned the arrest of Venezuelan President Maduro by the US military at the beginning of the year, and Polymarket denied that Venezuela was invaded and ruled that the relevant market was not, causing controversy. A16z Crypto believes that it is difficult to balance official information and trusted report consensus in predicting the market during contract execution, and the arbitration mechanism is susceptible to manipulation.