PANews
PANews|1月 23, 2026 13:27
[Analysis: The Divergence Between Gold and Bitcoin Trends May Be Related to the Japanese Bond Market] According to Delphi Digital's analysis, while Bitcoin prices remain stagnant, gold prices continue to rise. This phenomenon may be linked to the Japanese bond market. Typically, rising yields exert pressure on gold prices by increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold. However, when gold prices rise alongside yields, the market is pricing in policy pressures and balance sheet vulnerabilities rather than economic growth. Currently, the yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds is at an extreme position, 3.65 standard deviations above its long-term average. Due to the structure of assets and collateral, Japanese banks have significant long-term risk exposure to Japanese government bonds. Gold is absorbing this portion of market pressure. Meanwhile, Bitcoin prices show an inverse correlation with Japan's 10-year government bond yields and have historically faced sustained pressure during prolonged periods of rising Japanese yields. If the Bank of Japan intervenes to stabilize the bond market, the pressure premium in gold may ease, potentially creating room for a Bitcoin rebound.
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