百萬Eric | Day Trader|Jan 17, 2026 10:06
Bitcoin BITCOIN: Are we in the 'doubt' phase or the 'panic' phase right now?
Does it matter? Yes and no.
Every day on social media, a bunch of 'macro big picture' charts go viral. They're super minimalistic, highly directional, and seem like they can predict the future with precision—very tempting.
But has anyone actually achieved financial freedom relying on these charts? I doubt it.
What truly determines whether you make long-term profits isn’t which chart you look at, but which part of the market you’re aiming to profit from.
If you think we’re in the 'doubt phase,' it means the market has just reversed from the bottom, and there’s still room for $120K, maybe even $1M ahead. Then you should be looking for long setups with favorable risk-reward structures. Where are the entry signals? What’s the key level? Most importantly, how do you set your stop-loss?
If you believe we’re in the 'panic phase,' and this is just a dead cat bounce, combined with the Fed’s flip-flopping stance, uncontrollable AI bubbles, and the shaky 'Seven Sisters,' then you should be looking for short setups with favorable risk-reward structures. Same questions: Where’s the signal? Where are the risk points? How do you set your stop-loss?
To put it more simply:
If you approach trading with the mindset of 'I could be wrong' and build a system with 'risk-reward + signals + stop-loss,' then it’s just a controlled-cost trade.
But if you’re betting just because some perfect chart happened to 'speak to you,' and you think, 'This chart lets me stop thinking,' then regardless of whether the direction is right or wrong, the result is most likely a loss—a frustrating, infuriating kind of loss.
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink