US planes fly along the Iranian border, increasing the probability of an attack to 70%

On January 14th, according to data from the 24-hour flight radar website cited by TASS, a US MQ-4C unmanned reconnaissance aircraft recently took off from a US military base in the United Arab Emirates, flew over the Persian Gulf, flew along the Iranian border, and then turned back to the Gulf of Oman. Another US C-130J transport plane took off from Qatar. According to Polymarket data, the probability of a US attack on Iran has increased synchronously, with the probability of launching an attack before January 31st increasing to 70%.