貝格先生🐢
貝格先生🐢|1月 13, 2026 01:53
BTC Distribution Strength Indicator: Another Friend of Shallow Bear Script It has been almost two months since I proposed the Shallow Bear script. During this period, I shared multiple indicators from different dimensions to demonstrate the feasibility of my Shallow Bear script. Today, I would like to share with you a new indicator that has not been mentioned before, This indicator has achieved extremely high accuracy in monitoring the bottom since 2022, It is the 'Distribution Intensity Indicator' : The metric to be introduced today is' BTC Value Days Destroyed Multiple ' : ➡️ Abbreviated as VDD Multiple ➡️ Same as Cointime Price, from the Cointime Economics system ➡️ Introducing the concept of time weighting, giving greater weight to chips held for a longer period of time ➡️ Compare the 'average distribution intensity within 30 days' and' average distribution intensity within 1 year ' ➡️ green Represents a lower average distribution intensity within 30 days, with some easing of selling ➡️ yellow Representing a neutral average distribution intensity within 30 days ➡️ orange The average distribution intensity within 30 days is relatively high, indicating a risk of peaking in the market The detailed concepts and formulas are somewhat complex and difficult to explain in a few words, But the most important concept is roughly like the one mentioned above, for friends interested in delving deeper into research, You can refer to the tutorials in the "Cointime Price" series that I have compiled at the end of the article As shown in the attached figure: Since the bottom of the bear market in 2022, whenever VDD Multiple appears green, All correspond to the 'significantly corrected bottom area' Now, VDD Multiple is also entering a green state in the last week of 2025 , It can be considered as adding another major boost to the Shallow Bear script. // Perhaps some friends may be curious: how did VDD Multiple perform when entering a deep bear market in the past ❓ I plan to answer this question from the following two perspectives: one ️⃣ The green signal of VDD Multiple is more like an indicator used to evaluate the "phase bottom" Taking the bear market from 2021 to 2023 as an example, the indicators changed from yellow to green multiple times during this period, And subsequently, there was a significant rebound. two ️⃣ BTC has a completely different 'inertia' in this cycle compared to previous cycles This is the reason why I only included the indicator status after 2022, It is also the main factor that led me to propose the Shallow Bear script. Therefore, I do not believe that simply carving patterns from the past is a reliable research method; On the contrary, I believe that in situations where many bottom signals appear, the probability of success for the Shallow Bear script is actually higher. Although VDD Multiple is not a periodic indicator, But combined with the many shallow bear bottom signals I previously shared, the resonance formed by these low correlation indicators, The success probability of the Shallow Bear script is definitely the biggest boost ✅ Finally, one more thing to mention: Although 'VDD Multiple turns from yellow to green' accurately captures the bottom, But its evaluation of the top effect is quite poor, which is why when it fled to the top earlier, I have never shared the reason for it The above is today's content, hoping to be helpful to everyone // Related reading resources I created a group: free+0 threshold+existing U draw activity https://((((x.com))))/market_beggar/status/2010528921679458444 On chain Data School (6): Introduction to Cointime Price (I) https://((((x.com))))/market_beggar/status/1871466038107512855 On chain Data School (7): Introduction to Cointime Price (II) https://((((x.com))))/market_beggar/status/1872499567398367274 On chain Data School (8): Introduction to Cointime Price (III) https://((((x.com))))/market_beggar/status/1873942020710162660
Share To

HotFlash

APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink

Hot Reads