[Polymarket data shows the probability of the U.S. attacking Iran before the end of January rises to 46%] On January 11, according to Polymarket data, the probability of the 'U.S. attacking Iran before the end of January' has risen to 46%, while the probability of the 'U.S. attacking Iran before the end of March' has risen to 62%. This morning's news indicates that U.S. President Trump has been briefed on strike plans against Iran but has not yet made a final decision. Meanwhile, the Pentagon Pizza Index saw a significant increase overnight.