Murphy
Murphy|Jan 09, 2026 09:13
This is how disagreements arise In the citation, CryptoCon believes that the Bitcoin market has overheated and is about to enter a bear market. Because the percentage channel of the monthly Bollinger Bands he observed has shown continuous top divergence on the upper track and has now returned to the center line, it is natural for BTC to continue moving to the lower track and follow a deep bear pattern. SuperBro questioned this (Figure 1)! He believes that CryptoCon assumed from the beginning that the "cycle is about to end" and fell into the traditional fixed thinking of a 4-year cycle, turning a blind eye to the business cycle. He pointed out in CryptoCon's indicators that, based on historical data, BTC will once again reach a new historical high after the indicator first tests the mid track (Figure 2). At the same time, he added that in trading, the divergence phenomenon seen here is very common, followed by a sharp pullback to form a higher low point (like this time BYC retreated from the high point to 80000), and then continued to rise strongly. There are countless examples of this. Isn't it incredible to come to completely opposite conclusions with the same indicators? I think the fundamental reason is that the observer has already predetermined a path in their mind. Using preconceptions to find angles is also a mental trap that we often easily fall into. But it cannot be denied that 2026 is indeed a year full of challenges and uncertainties. After it, it will provide us with a brand new data sample, which has important reference value for improving trend analysis and trading systems! @Bitget Sponsorship | Bitget VIP, Lower rates and more generous benefits
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