PANews|Jan 08, 2026 09:57
[PANews Data: 63% of Short-Term Markets on Polymarket See 0 Transactions in 24 Hours, 505 Top Contracts Account for 47% of Trading Volume]
PANews recently analyzed historical data from 295,000 markets on the Polymarket platform. The data reveals:
1. Over 60% of short-term markets have become 'zombies': Among active markets with cycles shorter than one day, 63.16% of contracts had 0 trading volume in 24 hours.
2. Lack of liquidity in crypto short-term markets: The average trading volume for short-term sports markets ($1.32 million) is 30 times higher than that of crypto markets ($44,000), indicating a lack of financial support for short-term crypto predictions.
3. Extreme concentration at the top: Only 505 super contracts with trading volumes exceeding $10 million (a very small proportion) monopolize 47% of the platform's total trading volume.
4. Large funds favor long-term markets: The average liquidity of long-term predictions (>30 days) is 45 times higher than that of single-day markets, with U.S. political markets leading the way at an average volume of $28.17 million.
5. Rise of geopolitical markets: This segment accounts for 29.7% of active markets, becoming the fastest-growing category.
The data indicates that Polymarket is increasingly divided into a 'high-frequency sports betting platform' and a 'macro political hedging tool,' with liquidity highly concentrated in a small number of top narratives.
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