I found a way to track insiders’ wallets on Polymarket and it completely changed how I approach prediction markets. Here’s why this matters, how I do it, and the real takeaway most people miss Polymarket isn’t just “yes/no bets.” It’s one of the cleanest real-time signals of where informed money is positioning. When someone consistently: • enters early • sizes confidently • exits before consensus shifts They’re not guessing. They know something or they’re very good at reading probabilities. Most users watch odds. I watch who is moving the odds. That edge compounds fast. Here’s the process I personally use: 1️⃣ Find large or early position changes Look for markets where odds move before news breaks. Sudden liquidity with no headline usually means informed positioning. 2️⃣ Click into the trade history Polymarket is transparent. You can see wallet activity, timing, and size. 3️⃣ Identify repeat wallets Some wallets show up again and again: • early entries • consistent sizing • exits before peak hype These are the ones worth tracking. 4️⃣ Tag and monitor them across markets I don’t copy trades blindly. I watch patterns: • when they enter • how long they hold • how they react to new info 5️⃣ Use them as confirmation, not signal I only act when: • my thesis already makes sense • the market structure aligns • and informed wallets agree THE REAL TAKEAWAY Prediction markets aren’t about being right. They’re about being early with confidence. Most people react to headlines. Insiders position before them. If you learn to track behavior instead of prices, you stop gambling and start operating with asymmetric information.(CyrilXBT)