Foresight News|Jan 05, 2026 13:06
[Bubblemaps: Some Analyses of Polymarket Insider Activity in the Market Are Flawed]
According to Foresight News, Bubblemaps analysis indicates that some allegations regarding Polymarket insider activity in the market are flawed. Their tweet pointed out that an analysis claimed a Polymarket insider obtained approximately 250 SOL from Coinbase, and that a similar SOL deposit was made to Coinbase the previous day, asserting a '99%' correlation between the two. However, Bubblemaps highlighted several issues with this conclusion, including the excessive time gap and the fact that only SOL inflows were considered, without accounting for the possibility of USDC, ETH, or other assets. In reality, using the same one-day window, 20 matching cases could also be identified. Additionally, the deposit could have originated from bank transfers, multiple small deposits, or actions taken months or even years ago.
They warned that while time-based analysis can provide valuable insights, improper use may lead to erroneous conclusions.
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