**[Polymarket “No” Side Bets on “Christ Not Returning” Yield 5.5% Annualized Returns, Outperforming U.S. Treasury Bonds]** Odaily Planet Daily News: On the prediction market Polymarket, a contract centered around whether Jesus Christ will return to Earth by 2025 attracted approximately $3.3 million in participation. As the event was ultimately judged as “No,” participants who bet on “not happening” at the peak in April achieved an annualized return of about 5.5%, outperforming U.S. Treasury yields during the same period. The report noted that the contract once maintained a probability of “returning” above 3%, reflecting the pricing characteristics of prediction markets under the interplay of sentiment, belief, and speculation. Bloomberg also pointed out that while similar contracts have increased attention on prediction markets, they have sparked academic controversy. Some scholars argue that such highly entertainment-oriented or symbolic events may undermine the informational value of prediction markets in serious public issues. As the 2026 version of the contract is relaunched, the current market still assigns about a 2% probability to the event, highlighting the tendency of prediction markets to continuously attract speculative funds under the narrative of “low probability, high return.” (Bloomberg)