加密前线(糖哥)|Jan 02, 2026 06:10
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC
The operable value of the market is not significant. In order to maintain sensitivity to market fluctuations, routine sell offs will still be written, but we advise everyone to read more and operate less
In the past two weeks, BTC prices have been fluctuating with minimal amplitude, leaving little room for manipulation in the market. In theory, all that can be done is leverage based fast in and fast out operations of 15 minutes or less, as well as reserved positions for high-level exit segments.
From the weekly trend, the amplitude of the sideways trend narrows further after 6 weeks, and it can only be estimated empirically that a change is approaching. However, a single sideways trend itself lacks direction guidance and needs to be viewed in conjunction with the overall environment it is in;
On the overall market of this level, the current trend is on the bearish side, with significant suppression above the 100000 mark; Going down, support can only be found at positions 7.9 and 6.3 respectively.
Compared with the trend of weekly prices on the bullish side of the lifeline strategy before November, the bearish side will have significant characteristics such as more declines and less gains, rapid declines and slower gains, or accelerated declines, and horizontal substitution for declines. The way to deal with it is not to chase after the rise, but to prioritize high selling or low selling after leaving the segment (see the picture for details, focus on the key points).
From the daily trend, the price has been firmly suppressed by MA30 for a month. Looking at the trend of the past 10 days, as the amplitude narrows, there is a possibility for local "small funds" to raise the price. However, the suppression of the internal structure has also strengthened the suppression of the original daily box upper track 94150 band. Based on this box upper track, the expectation and space for upward pullback have been weakened.
From the market where prices were hanging but not falling three days ago, it appears that there have been some current price advances in certain areas. There is a radical opportunity to hold on to 86660 and play against 91260 and 94150. However, the market is very challenging, and it is not worth keeping an eye on 3-5% of the market for several days. If you want to do so, try keeping a small position in the market.
In addition, it is still a reverse operation after the price reaches the upper and lower tracks of the box and leaves the upper and lower tracks in sequence (see picture, key points)
From the trend of 4H and below, the moving average system has formed a line at a relatively low level. According to the transaction cost model, the market cost of the past 41.8 days tends to be consistent. Pushing this timeline to before 41.8 days, which happens to be the time when the price reaches its low point on November 21,
The chips in the market have calmed down, and the power of both long and short sides has reached a certain balance. Currently, there is no deadlock before incremental entry, but usually this stage will not be deadlocked for a long time. The main focus of this area is to create a reverse phase of departure, and when the price is in a small horizontal downward trend, it is combined with a 15 minute level of fast in and fast out or upward game. (Detailed picture)
Weekly level points (long-term effective):
The first support range is 78888~75180 (can be hung, with the best deviation from the daily bottom line),
Second support 64229~61138 (not in the existing area, but can be hung),
Form suppression starting point 97200, main throwing pressure source 100610~102110
Daily location:
Pressing 91070~92520 inside the box (for reference, fast in and fast out),
The upper track of the body is pressed from 93697 to 94880, with the two adjacent to each other. The specific operation depends on the shape and strength at the time of arrival (refer to whether there is a peak shape or a slow rise in the sub level). Short term support ranges from 85069 to 83424 (watch the market for fast in and out),
The possibilities of the trend are diverse, but the path of the arrival trend can be said to be certain to some extent. Therefore, it is important to keep an eye on it and think more, in order to increase the ability to respond on the spot. The ideas in the earlier articles are still rich, with details or supplements under a main line that can be reviewed.
Reminder: All legends and points only display actionable trend types within personal cognitive range, purely based on personal opinions, not trend predictions, and not investment advice. Please independently judge risks and DYOR (Do Your Own Research)! BTC
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