彼得兔
彼得兔|Jan 02, 2026 02:03
BTC 2026.01.02 Since the market movement from 11.21 to 12.11 (80600-94600) ended, has the nearly three weeks of consolidation and adjustment shaken everyone up? The recent lower update frequency is because the market is still in adjustment mode and hasn’t formed a clear trend yet. But now we’ve reached a critical point, so pay attention: As shown in the chart, if BTC follows the red path, which represents a converging adjustment, then the adjustment could end at any time, kicking off a new round of upward movement. Even if it follows the blue path—dropping to a low point near 84500—after the adjustment ends, it will still start to rise. Currently, the probability of this scenario seems lower, but it can’t be completely ruled out. So, when managing positions and risk control, this possibility should be considered. In terms of timing, we’re already at the critical juncture. If BTC hasn’t shown a strong upward trend by Gann Time 1.5 week, the expectation for a rise will decrease. It might consume the potential upward momentum by moving sideways instead. Tonight, as the last trading day of the week, keep a close eye on the market. If there are any special developments, I’ll update again. Stay tuned.
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