星球日报
星球日报|12月 31, 2025 23:27
[Moody's: The Federal Reserve May Aggressively Cut Rates Three Times in the First Half of 2026] Odaily Planet Daily News - Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics, believes that a weak labor market, inflation uncertainty, and political pressure will prompt the Federal Reserve to aggressively cut interest rates in early 2026. Although both the market and Federal Reserve officials expect only moderate easing next year, Zandi predicts that the Fed will implement three rate cuts in the first half of the year, each by 25 basis points. 'The further easing of monetary policy will be driven by a still-weak job market, especially in early 2026. Businesses will need more time to be confident that shifting trade and immigration policies, as well as other threats, won't catch them off guard before they resume hiring,' he added. 'Until then, job growth will not be sufficient to prevent the unemployment rate from rising further. As long as the unemployment rate continues to climb, the Fed will cut rates.' Zandi's forecast is at least more aggressive than the expectations of both the market and the Federal Reserve, which point to a slower pace of rate cuts.
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