HIGER|Dec 31, 2025 15:43
Hai Ge observes daily 20251231- see you next year!
Bitcoin's performance has been relatively strong in the past few days, but after the opening of the US stock market today, it has weakened again. Bitcoin is still seeking momentum in a weak equilibrium pattern.
Today, a total of 32 indicators were observed, with 4 indicators showing bullish, 14 indicators showing bearish, and 7 indicators showing uncertain. Among the key selling indicators, 3 are long, 3 are short, and 1 is uncertain.
At the macro level, it is important to note that although USDT and USDC have issued an additional 1 billion on the Ethereum and Solana networks respectively, the total amount of stablecoins is still showing an outflow state. Therefore, do not just see media reports, as there is still no incremental capital coming in. There are no other messages that require special attention.
The specific indicators today are closer to the status of the previous day, that is, capital outflow, overall bearish sentiment, DXY and treasury bond yields become stronger, VDD and 100BTC indicators still hint at the allocation range.
In terms of ETF inflows, yesterday's rebound reflected a large-scale inflow of spot ETF funds, which also confirms Haige's speculation yesterday and the previous prediction that the current market will be driven by spot funds.
Provide today's operational suggestion:
1. Avoid short selling in the short term. There will be a large demand for tax processing by the end of 2025, and this portion of funds will be re allocated in 2026. In addition, with the gradual recovery of liquidity, the upward momentum will be stronger under the weak balance pattern;
2. Long term partners continue to firmly buy and build positions, waiting for a turning point;
3. The trend of counterfeit hype has not yet formed, but there are sectors that are eager to move, which will be sorted out later.
Finally, as we are about to enter 2026, I wish you all the best. We must win in 2026 and we will win!
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