From the daily trend of BTC, there are obvious signs of bottoming out!!! The amplitude is getting smaller and smaller, the demand for change is strong, and volatility is about to increase. It's time to bet again. From the chart, the bottom of the oscillation is gradually rising, and there is a high probability of breaking through upwards. If the price breaks through 92500U in the near future, it will break the downward trend, and the initial target level is 95000U. Otherwise, if it fails to hold 84000, it will test around 80000 or even around 75000 again. What I am most afraid of is that the overall direction of the market is not wrong, but there is a sharp drop before the rise. I need to adjust my mindset and take a stop loss. If this happens, it will be uncomfortable and make many people doubt themselves, causing them to miss out on this round of market. I have experienced this many times before! January 26 (probability 55-60%): Price stabilizes with slight upward potential, BTC price fluctuates between 88000 and 95000. Bull market scenario (probability 25-30%): A surge in liquidity triggers a price rebound, breaking through the channel target level of $100000 to $110000, triggered by sustained inflation or negative capital inflows. Bear market scenario (probability 15-20%): If the support level is lost, the decline will further expand, falling to $78000-82000, and the rebound may be delayed until February, with extreme cases falling to $75000 or even lower. In short, I strongly believe that there will be a big wave in the first half of next year, sooner or later. Although there is a possibility of further decline, the overall probability of fluctuating upward is higher, which is worth playing! OKX