HIGER|Dec 29, 2025 15:28
Hai Ge observes daily 20251229- Whales make noise, we continue to build warehouses at the bottom
The US stock market opened with slightly improved indicators today: long 3, short 12, uncertain 10.
Before the opening of the US stock market, Bitcoin experienced a good rebound, rising to over 90000 points, accompanied by a large amount of on chain active activity and secondary knockoff rebound, causing the market to experience a long-awaited restlessness.
Those who insist on watching Hai Ge's daily observations should maintain a clear mind at this time, because the weak balance of the market has not changed, and the ups and downs of the market are mostly driven by short-term trading by small whales.
There is relatively little macro news today. What needs to be paid attention to are: the micro strategy resumed increasing its holdings of Bitcoin last week, the United States accelerated its push for Russia Ukraine peace talks, and gold and silver fell sharply. These few messages are all beneficial to the cryptocurrency market.
As for today's indicators, they are similar to before, showing the following characteristics:
1. Funds continue to flow out, and the total amount of stablecoins and USDC exchange rate are visible;
2. Emotionally bearish across the board, with both retail and institutional investors simultaneously bearish, Coinbase experiencing negative premiums for several days;
3. The US dollar continues to weaken, and the yield of treasury bond still has a large room for decline;
4. VDD and BTC100 show that the current entry and position building range is worth paying attention to.
These indicators are telling us a signal: it's time to buy at the bottom and build a position! I have mentioned this viewpoint in my summaries for several consecutive days.
Similarly, today's suggestion remains:
1. Short term trading partners can short during irrational market surges and close their positions at low levels. Bitcoin currently does not have the foundation for sustained crazy buying, and the stop loss space is not very large;
2. Long term partners continue to firmly buy and build positions, waiting for a turning point;
3. Shanzhai buddies don't need to be impatient and impulsive, otherwise they are easily trapped in this volatile market and repeatedly cut losses.
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