TraderS | 缺德道人|12月 27, 2025 16:52
This silver price surge is essentially due to a futures squeeze, not a sudden spike in industrial demand. The global annual silver production is 27,000 tons, with 23,000 tons used for industrial purposes—there’s no shortage of raw materials for industrial consumption. What’s really lacking is the 'artificially inflated deliverable tokens': COMEX holds only 14,000 tons of physical silver, London less than 4,000 tons, and China 715 tons, yet the futures market has sold short contracts several times these inventories. When the longs start demanding physical delivery instead of cash settlement, the shorts can’t deliver and are forced to cover at high prices. This triggers a short squeeze, blowing up the price instantly.
Gold isn’t going as crazy, not because the logic is different, but because the scale is different: gold’s market cap is $30 trillion, silver’s is only $3 trillion, platinum $800 billion, and palladium $200 billion. In the global financial system, just a few hundred billion dollars flowing out of U.S. Treasuries in search of a 'hard anchor' is enough to break through the ceiling of smaller markets like silver and platinum group metals, since gold can only absorb part of it.
So this isn’t your typical commodity bull market—it’s global capital hedging against the dollar and U.S. Treasuries:
Dollar instability → buy gold and silver → gold and silver surge → even less confidence in the dollar → keep buying, until the shorts are wiped out. Only then will a wave of long liquidation end this madness.
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