[The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January next year is 84.5%] Jin10 Data, December 25: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 15.5%, while the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 84.5%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 42.2%, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 51.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 6.0%.