比特币橙子Trader
比特币橙子Trader|Dec 24, 2025 13:42
About the 2026 rate cut expectations, it's a wild tug-of-war between two logics: On one side, the hard data: US Q3 GDP annualized at 4.3%, the economy's resilience is scary strong. Even BlackRock has weighed in: their strategists Amanda Lynam and Dominique Bly pointed out in a report that the Fed is expected to implement only limited rate cuts in 2026. With a total of 175 basis points already cut this cycle, the Fed is nearing the neutral rate level. Unless there’s a sharp deterioration in the labor market, there’s very limited room for further rate cuts in 2026. Logically, rate cuts should stop here, right? But on the other side, it’s the game of power: ️ Trump is applying direct pressure: No rate cuts? Then forget about being Fed Chair. This creates a massive game theory paradox: Trust the data? At most, a minor adjustment in 2026, or no cuts at all. Trust the "King of Deals"? Break the rules and force a new round of easing. Bros, what do you think Powell (or the next Fed Chair) will ultimately choose? Stick to the “bottom line” of the data, or bow to the “pressure” for the sake of the position? Drop your 2026 script in the comments
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