[The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January next year is 79%] Jin10 Data, December 22: According to CME 'FedWatch,' the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 21%, while the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 79%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 47.1%, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 43.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 9.5%.