[Polymarket: Probability of Trump Not Announcing Fed Chair Nominee by End of 2025 Rises to 91%] Polymarket data shows that the market expects a 91% probability that Trump will not announce the next Federal Reserve Chair nominee by December 31, 2025. Among the potential candidates announced earlier this year, Kevin Hassett's probability of winning has dropped to 4%, while Chris Waller and Kevin Warsh have probabilities of 3% and 2%, respectively. Although the market previously had high expectations for Trump to secure the Federal Reserve leadership in advance, current betting trends indicate that the nomination process may be delayed compared to earlier expectations.