Midas Trend|Dec 16, 2025 10:36
Just tonight! Non farm report rare 'two in one' release, unemployment rate may soar
Due to the longest government shutdown in history, the release of the November non farm payroll report in the United States has been postponed to Tuesday, mid December, instead of the usual first Friday of each month. The report includes employment data for October but does not include the unemployment rate. Predicting a 50000 increase in employment in November, with an unemployment rate of 4.4%; But economists predict a wide range, with a possibility of negative growth in October due to 144000 people delaying their resignation plans. The report provides key information on the current state of the labor market and next year's interest rate path, but with high uncertainty. Retail sales and CPI data were released during the same period this week, with no month on month indicators for CPI.
key points
The government shutdown has led to a delay in the release of the November non farm payroll report, which includes October data but no unemployment rate.
It is predicted that employment will increase by 50000 in November, with an unemployment rate of 4.4%, but there may be negative growth in October due to delayed resignation plans.
The report affects next year's interest rate path, with high uncertainty; CPI data has not been released on a month on month basis.
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