小捕手 Chaos
小捕手 Chaos|Dec 14, 2025 11:18
A hot topic: The new project @ SurfAI will take the Cyber team's industry position to new heights (Too lazy to read long articles? There is a video version at the end of the article) 1/CYBER's Four Wheel Roller Coaster Looking back at the price trajectory of CYBER, the four main cycles can be roughly seen. The first wave (August September 2023) TGE started at $0.5 and surged to a short-term high of $6.91. Core driver: Binance Launchpool effect+initial SocialFi concept hype. Second wave (February April 2024) Rebound from the low point to a high point of approximately $14+. Catalyst: CyberConnect L2 Progress, Narrative of Social dApp Infrastructure. The third wave (around October November 2024) From $3.04 to $4.71. The overall market recovery has driven a slight increase. The Fourth Wave (July August 2025) From around $1.2+to $2.5+(Upbit surged 130% on the day of its launch). Upbit Korea Exchange launches CYBER/KRW trading pair, triggering strong FOMO. 2/Cyber's own structural dilemma The undisclosed aspect of the price is the structural dilemma that Cyber is facing. SocialFi has a sexy concept, but its user retention and business model have never been successful. User retention rate crashes The decentralized social experience is still inferior to Web2, and most users eventually return to Twitter/Instagram. The peak of Cyber monthly activity appeared in March 2024 and continued to decline thereafter. The business model is unsustainable The income model is unclear and mainly relies on token incentives to maintain ecological activity. http://Friend.tech The collapse has proven that pure token incentives cannot support long-term development. This is not unique to Cyber, but a common issue across the entire SocialFi track. How does Surf break through? Why is' this time different '? Completely changed track: shifting from SocialFi to encrypted vertical AI General models such as ChatGPT and Perplexity perform mediocre in the field of encryption and lack professional depth. Surf is specifically designed for the cryptocurrency market, with obvious vertical advantages. Preliminary data verification has been obtained: 300000 user base Annual revenue exceeds one million US dollars SocialFi vs Vertical AI User acquisition cost: high vs low Retention rate: continuous decline vs. rapid growth Monetization Path: Fuzzy vs Clear (Subscription+Enterprise Level Services) Network effect: weak vs strong (more data, more accurate AI) Considering that encryption vertical AI is still a blue ocean with explosive demand growth, Surf has the opportunity to become the absolute leader in this niche track.
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