Murphy|Dec 13, 2025 07:00
Let me break down my considerations for going short-term long here, mainly based on indicator signals:
1. Divergence between the trendline and price—when it approaches the midline, it’s a point worth considering for entry.
2. Momentum shows a red oversold signal, indicating a significant deviation and a need for correction.
3. Price expectation indicator calculates three price levels: $91,066, $91,755, $92,398.
Also, yesterday I noticed a sudden net inflow of 5,200 BTC into Binance. This kind of move near the weekend is already eye-catching, especially after three weeks of consistent net outflows, followed by such an abrupt shift.
So, when the divergence signal appeared on the indicator around noon yesterday, I placed a short order as an early setup based on the above assumptions.
Then, between 11:00 PM and 1:00 AM last night, there were two 1-hour candles on Binance where over 5k BTC was dumped—similar in quantity, which makes it even more suspicious that this was premeditated. After these chips were dumped, the trading volume returned to a low point, and the price became a straight line.
In summary, considering BTC’s recent hour-chart "door-painting" movements, I’m planning to take a short-term gamble. Of course, if my judgment is wrong, I’ll cut losses as needed—never holding onto a losing position.
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