煌道 | 交易之道
煌道 | 交易之道|Dec 12, 2025 02:42
Why did Big Brother Wang Maji go from making tens of millions of dollars in profit to losing tens of millions of dollars using AI analysis? 1. Small wins and large losses: The winning rate is very high at 76%, but the profit loss ratio is poor, with a risk return ratio of 0.12. The average holding time for profitable orders is about 31.06 hours, while the average holding time for losing orders is about 109.12 hours. Usually, when you make a little profit, you run away, but when you encounter losses, you carry on orders or even sell out. There is no clear principle of taking profits and stopping losses, and subjective judgment is based on feelings 2. Dead bulls: 164 long orders, 10 short orders, huge losses on long orders, profits on all short orders, almost only long and few short positions, missing short profits, and huge losses in volatile and one-sided downturns 3. High risk assets with large positions: Excessive positions in volatile currencies such as XPL (average position of 3.5 million units) and PUMP (average position of 511 million units) have led to huge losses, with over 75% of transactions concentrated in HYPE, PUMP, ETH, and XPL, resulting in a total loss of approximately 45 million US dollars. BTC performs well but is underutilized 4. FOMO Head: After a significant profit from long positions in August, the trading frequency increased sharply from September to October, leading to excessive trading during the volatility period and intensified losses at the end of the year, possibly due to retaliatory trading or FOMO @machibigbrother
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