Phyrex|12月 11, 2025 05:14
Honestly, I actually think that if there really is an economic recession, it might be a 'good thing.' Historically, in the U.S., when interest rates exceed 5%, the probability of a recession is very high. Although recessions are painful, they are the fastest way to bring down inflation. Otherwise, inflation and the economy will keep pulling back and forth, like a tumor. Sure, conservative treatment seems less harmful, but surgery to remove it is the only permanent solution.
Inflation is like a tumor, and the Federal Reserve is the attending doctor. The patient’s name is America. If you go under the knife, there will definitely be bleeding and damage to vitality. Slow treatment might lead to recovery, but it could also worsen the condition. Without Trump, the surgery process might have been accelerated—just let the recession happen and rebuild from there.
But with Trump in office, he won’t accept a recession during his term. If it had been earlier this year, he could’ve blamed the Democrats, but now that the year is almost over, a recession would impact the 2026 midterm elections. That’s why Trump will use every tool to ensure the U.S. economy keeps growing. On the other hand, the Fed is being forced to cut rates, which is why we’re in this tug-of-war situation.
After Powell steps down in May 2026, it’ll be a free-for-all.
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